SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 46.92%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-0 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
28.66% ( -0.02) | 24.41% ( -0.01) | 46.92% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 56.79% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.38% ( 0.04) | 45.61% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.06% ( 0.03) | 67.94% ( -0.04) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.58% ( 0) | 29.41% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.59% ( 0) | 65.41% ( -0) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.45% ( 0.03) | 19.54% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.55% ( 0.05) | 51.45% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elgin City | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 1-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.03% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.87% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.76% ( -0)Other @ 3.34% Total : 28.66% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.41% | 0-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.66% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.1% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.17% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.08% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.7% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 3.05% Total : 46.92% |
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