Ross County's first-tier fate is out of their own hands heading into the final two matches, although a clash with a safe St Johnstone side is a good opportunity to earn a much-needed maximum.
The Saints are wary of allowing standards to drop after victory on the weekend secured their Premiership status for another year, but we believe the Staggies' desperation for three points will lead to defeat for MacLean's men.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ross County win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ross County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
0.18) 
-0.06) 
