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League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
BR

Stevenage
2 - 3
Bristol Rovers

FT(HT: 2-1)
Thomas (29'), Martin (62'), Evans (67')
Evans (21'), Taylor (22'), Conteh (86')
Conteh (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 2-2 Stevenage
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Burton Albion
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 2-1 Bristol Rovers

The sides boast similar attacking records heading into this one, but Stevenage have had the upper hand defensively, and we fancy the home team to emerge victorious come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 52.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 23.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
StevenageDrawBristol Rovers
52.24% (0.059999999999995 0.06) 24.32% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 23.43% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Both teams to score 52.26% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.67% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)49.33% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.62% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)71.38% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.15% (0.02000000000001 0.02)18.85% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.69% (0.029000000000003 0.03)50.31% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.39% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)35.6% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.63% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)72.37% (0.060999999999993 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 52.23%
    Bristol Rovers 23.43%
    Draw 24.32%
StevenageDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 11.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 9.34% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.37% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 5.2% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-0 @ 2.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 52.23%
1-1 @ 11.56%
0-0 @ 6.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.32%
0-1 @ 6.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.97% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.58% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.06% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 23.43%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Port Vale 2-2 Stevenage
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 0-1 Reading
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Blackpool
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 2-3 Stevenage
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-1 Stevenage
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Maidstone 1-0 Stevenage
Saturday, January 6 at 12.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Burton Albion
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 Fleetwood
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-1 Exeter
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Blackpool
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League One


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