Playoff-chasing Stevenage will be targeting a second straight victory as they look to close the three-point gap to the top six.
However, we think that the visitors could be in for a disappointing afternoon, as we believe that Wigan will claim a narrow win to record a fourth consecutive home victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
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