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League One | Gameweek 25
Feb 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
CU

Stevenage
1 - 0
Cambridge

Roberts (35')
Forster-Caskey (45'), Reid (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cousins (43')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Wycombe
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Peterborough
Saturday, February 24 at 12pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 2-0 Cambridge United

Stevenage will be feeling a whole lot better following the win over Wycombe on Saturday, and the visit of Cambridge represents a real opportunity for the Boro to burst into the top six. The U's appear to be going nowhere quick under the interim management of Corr, so we are expecting a third-straight loss for United on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 55.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 20.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stevenage.

Result
StevenageDrawCambridge United
55.62% (0.166 0.17) 23.76% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 20.62% (-0.104 -0.1)
Both teams to score 50.33% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.95% (0.11799999999999 0.12)50.05% (-0.115 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.97% (0.106 0.11)72.03% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.16% (0.107 0.11)17.85% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.4% (0.179 0.18)48.6% (-0.176 -0.18)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.27% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)38.73% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.53% (-0.038 -0.04)75.47% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 55.61%
    Cambridge United 20.62%
    Draw 23.75%
StevenageDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 11.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.26% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.9% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.59% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.54% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.41% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 55.61%
1-1 @ 11.29% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.91% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 23.75%
0-1 @ 6.56% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.36% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.11% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.69% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 20.62%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Wycombe
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Stevenage
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 2-3 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 2-2 Stevenage
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 0-1 Reading
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Blackpool
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Peterborough
Saturday, February 24 at 12pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 Bolton
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 0-4 Cambridge
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-1 Cambridge
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-2 Cambridge
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One


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