Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 73.52%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 10.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.04%) and 3-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.75%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
0.04) 
-0.02) 
