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League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
One Call Stadium
AS

Mansfield
2 - 1
Accrington

Maris (2'), Quinn (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Leigh (85')
Hills (35'), Coyle (53')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 1-4 Mansfield
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 4-0 Accrington
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Mansfield Town 2-1 Accrington Stanley

While Mansfield Town has suffered a drop-off in form of late, they will be backing themselves against a floundering Accrington side who have managed just one win in their last nine outings. That said, we are backing Clough's men to come away with all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 69.56%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 13.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 1-0 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.79%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-2 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawAccrington Stanley
69.56% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 17.17% (0.0030000000000001 0) 13.27% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.07% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)33.46% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.74% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)55.25% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)8.66% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)29.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.48% (0.007000000000005 0.01)37.52% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.7% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)74.3% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 69.56%
    Accrington Stanley 13.27%
    Draw 17.17%
Mansfield TownDrawAccrington Stanley
2-0 @ 9.72% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 9.53%
1-0 @ 7.95%
3-0 @ 7.93% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 7.77%
4-0 @ 4.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 4.75%
3-2 @ 3.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.37% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 2.33%
5-1 @ 2.33%
5-2 @ 1.14%
6-0 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
6-1 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 69.56%
1-1 @ 7.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 17.17%
1-2 @ 3.82% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 3.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.56% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 13.27%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: MK Dons 1-4 Mansfield
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-0 Forest Green
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-4 Crawley
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 2-0 Mansfield
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Colchester
Saturday, March 23 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-5 Mansfield
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 4-0 Accrington
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 1-3 Accrington
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 0-0 Crewe
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 1-2 Morecambe
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 3-1 Accrington
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 2-2 Notts County
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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