SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Stockport County |
27.49% ( -0.4) | 24.28% ( -0.14) | 48.22% ( 0.54) |
| Both teams to score 56.35% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.2% ( 0.36) | 45.79% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.89% ( 0.34) | 68.11% ( -0.34) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.64% ( -0.11) | 30.36% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.45% ( -0.13) | 66.55% ( 0.13) |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.92% ( 0.36) | 19.08% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.31% ( 0.59) | 50.68% ( -0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Stockport County |
| 1-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.07% Total : 27.49% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.27% | 0-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.47% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.95% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 5.23% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 4.39% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.17% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.19% Total : 48.22% |
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