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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
39.26% ( -0.08) | 25.12% ( -0.01) | 35.61% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 57.21% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.68% ( 0.07) | 46.31% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.39% ( 0.07) | 68.6% ( -0.07) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.63% ( -0.01) | 23.37% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.65% ( -0.01) | 57.34% ( 0.01) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.66% ( 0.08) | 25.34% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.87% ( 0.12) | 60.12% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.16% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.1% Total : 39.26% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 35.61% |
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