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League One | Gameweek 24
Jan 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
Edgeley Park
BL

Stockport
1 - 1
Birmingham

Southam-Hales (78')
Southam-Hales (90+1'), Fiorini (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
May (5')
Gardner-Hickman (34')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 1-1 Stockport
Sunday, December 29 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Blackpool
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Stockport County 1-1 Birmingham City

Taking to the pitch for the last time with Barry leading the line, Stockport will be raring to cause an upset to kick-start their 2025 schedule. Birmingham are nearly at the end of a relentless period of five games in 13 days, and we feel that a mounting injury list could impact their ability to collect maximum points at Edgeley Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 47.76%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 1-0 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Stockport CountyDrawBirmingham City
27.75% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 24.49% (-0.038 -0.04) 47.76% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.85% (0.135 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.45% (0.175 0.18)46.55% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.17% (0.164 0.16)68.83% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.44% (0.10000000000001 0.1)30.57% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.21% (0.119 0.12)66.8% (-0.116 -0.12)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.43% (0.081999999999994 0.08)19.57% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.51% (0.133 0.13)51.49% (-0.131 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Stockport County 27.75%
    Birmingham City 47.76%
    Draw 24.49%
Stockport CountyDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 7.09% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 6.85% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 4.2% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.71% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.21% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 27.75%
1-1 @ 11.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.98% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.49%
0-1 @ 9.76% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.43% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 7.96% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.13% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.04% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.09% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.77% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.24% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 47.76%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rotherham 1-1 Stockport
Sunday, December 29 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Huddersfield 1-0 Stockport
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stockport 2-1 Peterborough
Friday, December 20 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 2-1 Stockport
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stockport 2-3 Bradford
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Exeter
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Blackpool
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 2-0 Burton Albion
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 0-1 Birmingham
Monday, December 23 at 8.15pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Barnsley 1-2 Birmingham
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in League One


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