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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City Under-21s win with a probability of 56.21%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 23.87% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.87%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City Under-21s | Draw | Norwich City Under-21s |
23.87% ( -0.22) | 19.92% ( -0) | 56.21% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 68.44% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.63% ( -0.25) | 28.37% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.8% ( -0.31) | 49.2% ( 0.31) |
| Stoke City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.33% ( -0.3) | 23.67% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.22% ( -0.43) | 57.78% ( 0.43) |
| Norwich City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.66% ( -0.03) | 10.34% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.2% ( -0.06) | 33.8% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City Under-21s | Draw | Norwich City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.78% Total : 23.87% | 1-1 @ 8% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.56% Total : 19.92% | 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 6.87% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.08)0-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 4.95% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 4.77% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 3.9% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.81% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.7% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 1.77% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)2-5 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.66% Total : 56.21% |
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