SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton Under-21s win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Norwich City Under-21s had a probability of 37.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.69%) and 2-0 (4.97%). The likeliest Norwich City Under-21s win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Everton Under-21s in this match.
| Result | ||
| Everton Under-21s | Draw | Norwich City Under-21s |
40.12% ( 0.23) | 22.54% ( -0.13) | 37.34% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 67.13% ( 0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.48% ( 0.69) | 33.52% ( -0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.68% ( 0.78) | 55.32% ( -0.78) |
| Everton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.54% ( 0.38) | 17.46% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.07% ( 0.67) | 47.93% ( -0.67) |
| Norwich City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.33% ( 0.26) | 18.67% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50% ( 0.44) | 50% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton Under-21s | Draw | Norwich City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.19% Total : 40.12% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 6.99% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.47% Total : 22.54% | 1-2 @ 8.01% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.75% Total : 37.34% |
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