SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-0 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartans would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stranraer | Draw | Spartans |
33.32% ( -0.14) | 26.04% ( -0.02) | 40.63% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 53.62% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.26% ( 0.07) | 50.74% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.36% ( 0.06) | 72.64% ( -0.06) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.16% ( -0.05) | 28.84% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.3% ( -0.07) | 64.7% ( 0.07) |
| Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.36% ( 0.12) | 24.64% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.84% ( 0.16) | 59.16% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stranraer | Draw | Spartans |
| 1-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 33.33% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.05% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 40.63% |
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