Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Spartans had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Spartans win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
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