SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 51.66%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 24.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartans would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spartans | Draw | Elgin City |
51.66% ( -0.26) | 24.12% ( 0.61) | 24.21% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 53.76% ( -2.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.24% ( -2.98) | 47.76% ( 2.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.05% ( -2.81) | 69.95% ( 2.81) |
| Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.52% ( -1.22) | 18.48% ( 1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.32% ( -2.1) | 49.68% ( 2.1) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.95% ( -1.92) | 34.05% ( 1.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.27% ( -2.12) | 70.73% ( 2.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartans | Draw | Elgin City |
| 1-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.88) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.41)3-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.25)3-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.3)4-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.2)4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.18)Other @ 3.32% Total : 51.66% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.75)2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.31)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.12% | 0-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.22% Total : 24.21% |
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