Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.
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