SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spartans | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
42.71% ( 0.05) | 25.69% ( -0.01) | 31.6% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.16% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.22% ( 0.02) | 49.78% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.22% ( 0.02) | 71.78% ( -0.02) |
| Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.82% ( 0.03) | 23.18% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.94% ( 0.05) | 57.06% ( -0.05) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.51% ( -0.02) | 29.49% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.5% ( -0.02) | 65.5% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartans | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 1-0 @ 9.99% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.07% Total : 42.71% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.22% 0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 31.6% |
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