Strasbourg have been ahead for only 14% of their Ligue 1 fixtures this season - the lowest percentage throughout the division - and they will be up against a much-improved side on Sunday. Another home loss could be the outcome, as Rennes can take more than one route to unlocking their hosts' defence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 26.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.69%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Strasbourg	Draw	Rennes
26.57% ( -0.7)	25.6% ( -0.03)	47.84% ( 0.72)

Both teams to score 51.41% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.06% (

-0.34)

51.94% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.32% (

-0.29)

73.68% (

0.29)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.67% (

-0.74)

34.33% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.97% (

-0.79)

71.03% (

0.79)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.28% (

0.18)

21.72% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.11% (

0.28)

54.89% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Strasbourg 26.57%

Rennes 47.83%

Draw 25.59%

Strasbourg	Draw	Rennes
1-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.22% Total : 26.57%	1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.59%	0-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 9.29% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 8.69% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 4.73% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 4.42% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 47.83%