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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Marseille |
42.78% ( -0.42) | 24.51% ( 0.06) | 32.71% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 58.61% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.82% ( -0.15) | 44.18% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.44% ( -0.15) | 66.56% ( 0.15) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.24% ( -0.25) | 20.76% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.61% ( -0.4) | 53.39% ( 0.41) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.96% ( 0.15) | 26.04% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.92% ( 0.2) | 61.07% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rennes | Draw | Marseille |
| 2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.75% Total : 42.78% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 7.69% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 32.71% |
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