SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 51.44%. A win for Hartberg had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Hartberg win was 0-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Hartberg |
51.44% ( 0.09) | 23.7% ( -0) | 24.87% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 55.86% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.69% ( -0.06) | 45.31% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.35% ( -0.06) | 67.65% ( 0.06) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.36% ( 0.01) | 17.64% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.75% ( 0.02) | 48.25% ( -0.02) |
| Hartberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.83% ( -0.11) | 32.17% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.35% ( -0.12) | 68.66% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Hartberg |
| 1-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.6% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0)Other @ 3.69% Total : 51.44% | 1-1 @ 11.16% 0-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.69% | 0-1 @ 6.44% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 24.87% |
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