SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 58.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 16.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.98%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Sudan win it was 1-0 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sudan | Draw | Ghana |
16.17% ( 0.09) | 25.59% ( 0.08) | 58.24% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 38.41% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38% ( -0.12) | 62% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.26% ( -0.09) | 81.74% ( 0.09) |
| Sudan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.91% ( 0.06) | 51.09% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.6% ( 0.04) | 85.4% ( -0.04) |
| Ghana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.53% ( -0.12) | 21.47% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.5% ( -0.18) | 54.5% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sudan | Draw | Ghana |
| 1-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.53% Total : 16.17% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 2.93% ( 0)Other @ 0.36% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 16.87% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 12.98% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 6.66% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.56% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 58.23% |
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