Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 53.61%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 19.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.53%) and 1-2 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 1-0 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
0.06) 
-0.09) 
