Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 48.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 25.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.35%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 1-0 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezia would win this match.