Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 53.59%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 20.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
-0.18) 
0.15) 
