Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudtirol win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Mantova had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sudtirol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Mantova win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Sudtirol	Draw	Mantova
37.3% ( 0.73)	26.82% ( 0.16)	35.88% ( -0.88)

Both teams to score 51.48% (

-0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.34% (

-0.65)

53.66% (

0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.85% (

-0.55)

75.15% (

0.56)

Sudtirol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.17% (

0.12)

27.83% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.58% (

0.15)

63.42% (

-0.14)

Mantova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.33% (

-0.84)

28.68% (

0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.51% (

-1.07)

64.49% (

1.08)

Score Analysis

Sudtirol 37.29%

Mantova 35.88%

Draw 26.82%

Sudtirol	Draw	Mantova
1-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.87% Total : 37.29%	1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.82%	0-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.66% Total : 35.88%