Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Sudtirol had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Sudtirol win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Palermo in this match.

Result
Sudtirol	Draw	Palermo
32.39% ( -0.02)	27.07% ( -0.01)	40.54% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 50.1% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.87% (

0.02)

55.13% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.62% (

0.02)

76.38% (

-0.02)

Sudtirol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.34% (

-0)

31.66% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.93% (

-0)

68.07% (

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.3% (

0.03)

26.69% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.05% (

0.04)

61.95% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Sudtirol 32.39%

Palermo 40.54%

Draw 27.06%

Sudtirol	Draw	Palermo
1-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.38% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.83% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.14% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.39%	1-1 @ 12.83% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.06%	0-1 @ 11.16% 1-2 @ 8.48% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.37% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.25% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 40.54%