SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 43.64%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 27.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Palermo | Draw | Sudtirol |
43.64% ( -0.12) | 28.62% ( -0.01) | 27.74% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 43.74% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.81% ( 0.07) | 62.19% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.13% ( 0.05) | 81.87% ( -0.05) |
| Palermo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.64% ( -0.03) | 28.36% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.9% ( -0.04) | 64.1% ( 0.04) |
| Sudtirol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.05% ( 0.14) | 38.95% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.32% ( 0.13) | 75.68% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Palermo | Draw | Sudtirol |
| 1-0 @ 13.92% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 1.62% Total : 43.64% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.04% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.61% | 0-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.51% Total : 27.74% |
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