Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 53.58%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 19.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palermo would win this match.

Result
Palermo	Draw	Sudtirol
53.58% ( 0.17)	26.48% ( -0.07)	19.94% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 41.98% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.38% (

0.12)

60.62% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.29% (

0.09)

80.71% (

-0.09)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.16% (

0.13)

22.84% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.43% (

0.18)

56.57% (

-0.18)

Sudtirol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.4% (

-0.05)

45.6% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.59% (

-0.04)

81.41% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Palermo 53.57%

Sudtirol 19.94%

Draw 26.47%

Palermo	Draw	Sudtirol
1-0 @ 15.37% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.35% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.39% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 53.57%	1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 10.41% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0) Other @ 0.49% Total : 26.47%	0-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.65% Total : 19.94%