SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.62%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Leicester City |
35.89% ( 0.08) | 23.27% ( 0.02) | 40.85% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 64.11% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.63% ( -0.08) | 37.37% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.41% ( -0.09) | 59.59% ( 0.09) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.91% ( 0) | 21.09% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.09% ( 0) | 53.91% ( 0) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.24% ( -0.08) | 18.76% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.84% ( -0.13) | 50.16% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Leicester City |
| 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.84% Total : 35.89% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.26% | 1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.54% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.56% Total : 40.85% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
