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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City | Draw | Sunderland |
46.69% ( 0.57) | 23.56% ( -0.02) | 29.74% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 60.48% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.93% ( -0.2) | 41.07% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.53% ( -0.2) | 63.46% ( 0.2) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.15% ( 0.14) | 17.84% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.4% ( 0.25) | 48.6% ( -0.25) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.62% ( -0.45) | 26.38% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.47% ( -0.6) | 61.53% ( 0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City | Draw | Sunderland |
| 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0)Other @ 3.77% Total : 46.69% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.29% Total : 29.75% |
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