SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 56.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 20.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
56.75% ( 0.08) | 22.37% ( -0.03) | 20.88% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.13% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.13% ( 0.06) | 43.87% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.75% ( 0.06) | 66.25% ( -0.05) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.75% ( 0.05) | 15.25% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.07% ( 0.09) | 43.93% ( -0.09) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.04% ( -0.02) | 34.95% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.3% ( -0.02) | 71.7% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 56.75% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.36% | 0-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 1.99% Total : 20.88% |
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