While Sutton will be desperate to build upon their previous victory over relegation rivals Forest Green as they look to make ground on the two teams above them, Accrington have proved throughout the course of the season that they are capable of big victories, including a 4-1 win in the previous encounter between these sides.
The hosts have not won in front of their home crowd in the league since a 2-1 victory over Bradford City back in October, and we expect Accrington to keep that poor home form going by beating Sutton in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
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