SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Maidenhead United |
39.27% ( 0.07) | 24.94% ( -0.01) | 35.79% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 57.88% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.54% ( 0.03) | 45.46% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.21% ( 0.03) | 67.79% ( -0.03) |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.01% ( 0.05) | 22.99% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.21% ( 0.07) | 56.78% ( -0.06) |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.16% ( -0.02) | 24.84% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.56% ( -0.02) | 59.44% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | Maidenhead United |
| 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.4% 2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 39.27% | 1-1 @ 11.69% 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.94% | 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.78% 0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.79% |
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