SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 37.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.61%) and 0-2 (5.69%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Sutton United |
37.51% ( -0.03) | 24.4% ( -0.03) | 38.09% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 59.96% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.18% ( 0.13) | 42.82% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.77% ( 0.13) | 65.23% ( -0.13) |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.29% ( 0.05) | 22.72% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.62% ( 0.06) | 56.38% ( -0.06) |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.58% ( 0.09) | 22.42% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.06% ( 0.13) | 55.94% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Sutton United |
| 2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.13% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.76% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 37.51% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.4% | 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.69% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.21% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 38.09% |
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