SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 58.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 20.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Sutton United win it was 2-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Birmingham City |
20.11% ( 0.01) | 21.85% ( -0.07) | 58.03% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.66% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.42% ( 0.32) | 42.58% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.01% ( 0.32) | 64.99% ( -0.31) |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.02% ( 0.2) | 34.98% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.28% ( 0.2) | 71.72% ( -0.2) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.6% ( 0.13) | 14.4% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.69% ( 0.24) | 42.31% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 2-1 @ 5.39% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 1.97% Total : 20.11% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.85% | 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 6.42% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 6.11% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 3.11% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 58.03% |
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