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MU
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
York Road
CT

Maidenhead
1 - 2
Crawley

McCoulsky (64')
Ferguson (90'), Latty-Fairweather (90+9'), De Havilland (114'), Pettit (114')
FT
(aet)
Mullarkey (90+5'), Showunmi (116')
Ibrahim (90+9'), Ibrahim (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Yeovil 3-1 Maidenhead
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Northampton 3-0 Crawley
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One

We say: Maidenhead United 1-2 Crawley Town

Maidenhead are certainly capable of making this an uncomfortable match for Crawley, and we are expecting it to be close in terms of the scoreline, but the away side's superior quality should allow them to secure a spot in the next round of the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 48%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%).

Result
Maidenhead UnitedDrawCrawley Town
28.73% (-0.243 -0.24) 23.26% (-0.112 -0.11) 48% (0.353 0.35)
Both teams to score 60.84% (0.224 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.7% (0.373 0.37)40.3% (-0.376 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.32% (0.383 0.38)62.67% (-0.386 -0.39)
Maidenhead United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (0.024000000000001 0.02)26.66% (-0.026999999999997 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.1% (0.036000000000001 0.04)61.9% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.95% (0.276 0.28)17.04% (-0.279 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.8% (0.487 0.49)47.2% (-0.48999999999999 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Maidenhead United 28.73%
    Crawley Town 48%
    Draw 23.25%
Maidenhead UnitedDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 7.03% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.01% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 3.97% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.1% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.75% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 28.73%
1-1 @ 10.62% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.22% (0.017 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.54% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.62% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.25%
1-2 @ 9.4% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.04% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-2 @ 7.11% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.55% (0.061 0.06)
0-3 @ 4.2% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.67% (0.043 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.45% (0.049 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.86% (0.036 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.62% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 48%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Yeovil 3-1 Maidenhead
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 2-2 Oldham
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 1-1 Hartlepool
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 3-0 Taunton Town
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Taunton Town 1-1 Maidenhead
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Southend 0-2 Maidenhead
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Northampton 3-0 Crawley
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 3-0 Lincoln
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 4-1 Crawley
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 3-5 Shrewsbury
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 3-4 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Wycombe 1-0 Crawley
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One


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