SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Gateshead |
31.78% ( -0.49) | 23.83% ( 0.13) | 44.39% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 60.64% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.65% ( -0.79) | 41.35% ( 0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.25% ( -0.81) | 63.75% ( 0.81) |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.76% ( -0.68) | 25.23% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.02% ( -0.94) | 59.98% ( 0.95) |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.11% ( -0.16) | 18.89% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.63% ( -0.28) | 50.37% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | Gateshead |
| 2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.57% Total : 31.78% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.83% | 1-2 @ 9.12% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 5.06% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.39% Total : 44.39% |
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