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League Two | Gameweek 33
Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
WA

Sutton
1 - 2
Wrexham

Lakin (76')
Adom-Malaki (7'), Eastmond (51'), Sanderson (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Boyle (45+3'), Lee (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 Sutton
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 0-1 Bradford
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Sutton United 0-1 Wrexham

There will be big pressure on Wrexham head coach Parkinson to deliver a positive result here, and we are expecting this to be a nervy affair. The Welsh outfit can call upon the superior quality, though, and we are backing them to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawWrexham
39.55% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 25.91% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 34.54% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 54.32% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.03% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)49.97% (0.098000000000006 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.05% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)71.95% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.14% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)24.86% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.53% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)59.47% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.3% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)27.71% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.73% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)63.27% (0.095999999999997 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 39.55%
    Wrexham 34.54%
    Draw 25.91%
Sutton UnitedDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 9.59% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.56%
2-0 @ 6.67% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.1% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 39.55%
1-1 @ 12.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.89% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.84% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.67% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 34.54%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 Sutton
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Doncaster
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 1-2 Harrogate
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 1-1 Sutton
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Sutton
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 2-2 Barrow
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 0-1 Bradford
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 3-1 Wrexham
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Blackburn 4-1 Wrexham
Monday, January 29 at 7.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Newport 1-0 Wrexham
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 2-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-1 Wrexham
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in FA Cup


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