SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 67.68%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 14.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 3-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.9%), while for a Sutton United win it was 1-2 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Sutton United |
67.68% ( 0.96) | 17.68% ( -0.26) | 14.64% ( -0.69) |
| Both teams to score 59.1% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.3% ( -0.23) | 32.7% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.63% ( -0.27) | 54.37% ( 0.28) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.12% ( 0.16) | 8.88% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.62% ( 0.37) | 30.39% ( -0.36) |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.86% ( -1.02) | 35.14% ( 1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.11% ( -1.09) | 71.89% ( 1.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wrexham | Draw | Sutton United |
| 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.25)4-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.1)5-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.15% Total : 67.68% | 1-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0.15)0-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.25% Total : 17.68% | 1-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.35% Total : 14.64% |
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