SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
42.08% ( -1.95) | 24.62% ( 0.24) | 33.3% ( 1.71) |
| Both teams to score 58.46% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.53% ( -0.49) | 44.47% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.16% ( -0.48) | 66.84% ( 0.48) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.8% ( -1.08) | 21.2% ( 1.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.92% ( -1.71) | 54.08% ( 1.71) |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.19% ( 0.82) | 25.81% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.23% ( 1.09) | 60.77% ( -1.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.3)3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.26)3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.28)3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.64% Total : 42.08% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.61% | 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.26) 0-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.32)0-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.33)1-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.2)1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.47% Total : 33.3% |
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