SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Swindon Town |
41.66% ( -0.19) | 25.02% ( 0.05) | 33.33% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 57.07% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.72% ( -0.2) | 46.29% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.43% ( -0.19) | 68.58% ( 0.19) |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.83% ( -0.18) | 22.17% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.43% ( -0.27) | 55.57% ( 0.27) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.33% ( -0.01) | 26.67% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.08% ( -0.02) | 61.92% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 41.66% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 3.15% Total : 33.33% |
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