Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
-0.19) 
0.05) 
