SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tamworth | Draw | Altrincham |
38.59% ( 0.18) | 26.07% ( -0.03) | 35.33% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 53.91% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.46% ( 0.11) | 50.54% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.54% ( 0.09) | 72.46% ( -0.09) |
| Tamworth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.36% ( 0.15) | 25.63% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.47% ( 0.2) | 60.53% ( -0.2) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.5% ( -0.04) | 27.5% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37% ( -0.05) | 63% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tamworth | Draw | Altrincham |
| 1-0 @ 9.6% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 38.59% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 35.34% |
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