Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.85%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
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