SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 50.61%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 21.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tigre | Draw | Deportivo Riestra |
50.61% ( 0.67) | 28.27% ( -0.11) | 21.11% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 39.2% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.98% ( -0.12) | 65.02% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.09% ( -0.08) | 83.9% ( 0.08) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.84% ( 0.26) | 26.16% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.76% ( 0.35) | 61.24% ( -0.36) |
| Deportivo Riestra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.09% ( -0.68) | 46.9% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.58% ( -0.52) | 82.41% ( 0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigre | Draw | Deportivo Riestra |
| 1-0 @ 16.45% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 11.03% ( 0.22)2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.79% Total : 50.61% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 12.27% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.38% Total : 28.26% | 0-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.4% Total : 21.11% |
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