SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 74.78%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 8.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.13%) and 3-0 (10.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Tigre |
74.78% ( 0.21) | 16.48% ( -0.18) | 8.74% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 42.68% ( 0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.36% ( 0.71) | 43.64% ( -0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.97% ( 0.69) | 66.03% ( -0.7) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.96% ( 0.24) | 10.04% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.88% ( 0.54) | 33.12% ( -0.54) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.44% ( 0.4) | 52.56% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.63% ( 0.26) | 86.37% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Tigre |
| 2-0 @ 13.94% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 12.13% ( -0.25)3-0 @ 10.68% 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.04)6-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.91% Total : 74.78% | 1-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.52% Total : 16.48% | 0-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.74% Total : 8.74% |
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