Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 56.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 21.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for an Atletico San Luis win it was 1-2 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.