Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
-0.05) 
0.11) 
