Liga MX | Gameweek 5
Aug 25, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Atletico San Luis.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 56.79%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 22.23% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.85%) and 1-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Toluca in this match.
| Result |
| Toluca | Draw | Atletico San Luis |
56.79% ( 0.75) | 20.98% ( -0.18) | 22.23% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 62.1% ( -0.16) |
| 64.39% ( 0.14) | 35.6% ( -0.14) |
| 42.34% ( 0.16) | 57.66% ( -0.16) |
| 87.51% ( 0.26) | 12.49% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.53% ( 0.54) | 38.47% ( -0.54) |
| 70.96% ( -0.4) | 29.03% ( 0.4) |
