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Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jul 20, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramirez

Atletico San Luis
1 - 1
Tijuana

Boli (11')
Dominguez (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Castaneda (27' pen.)
Balanta (41'), Eduardo Fernandez Inzunza (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pachuca 2-0 Atletico San Luis
Wednesday, July 17 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 3-0 Tijuana
Wednesday, July 17 at 4.05am in Liga MX

We said: Atletico San Luis 1-1 Club Tijuana

They were each easily handled by their opponents earlier this week, and we believe both sides may be a little timid and struggle to find a decisive breakthrough on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico San Luis win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico San Luis win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Atletico San LuisDrawClub Tijuana
39.72% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 24.3% (0.358 0.36) 35.98% (-0.316 -0.32)
Both teams to score 60.22% (-1.371 -1.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.57% (-1.762 -1.76)42.43% (1.764 1.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.16% (-1.782 -1.78)64.84% (1.784 1.78)
Atletico San Luis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.56% (-0.782 -0.78)21.44% (0.784 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.55% (-1.221 -1.22)54.45% (1.221 1.22)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.66% (-0.97 -0.97)23.34% (0.972 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.7% (-1.433 -1.43)57.3% (1.434 1.43)
Score Analysis
    Atletico San Luis 39.72%
    Club Tijuana 35.98%
    Draw 24.3%
Atletico San LuisDrawClub Tijuana
2-1 @ 8.63% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.71% (0.418 0.42)
2-0 @ 5.93% (0.186 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.43% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-0 @ 3.05% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 39.72%
1-1 @ 11.21% (0.3 0.3)
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.162 -0.16)
0-0 @ 5% (0.384 0.38)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.127 -0.13)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.3%
1-2 @ 8.16% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.28% (0.361 0.36)
0-2 @ 5.3% (0.116 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.96% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.05% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 35.98%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Pachuca 2-0 Atletico San Luis
Wednesday, July 17 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 2-2 Atletico San Luis
Saturday, July 13 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 2-1 America
Sunday, July 7 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 0-3 Atletico San Luis
Monday, April 29 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 1-5 Toluca
Saturday, April 20 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 2-1 Atletico San Luis
Monday, April 15 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 3-0 Tijuana
Wednesday, July 17 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 4-2 Guadalajara
Saturday, July 13 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Queretaro 1-2 Tijuana
Saturday, July 6 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 4-1 Tijuana
Sunday, April 28 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 3-1 Puebla
Saturday, April 20 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 0-1 Tijuana
Monday, April 15 at 3.06am in Liga MX


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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