Liga MX | Gameweek 3
Jul 17, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Hidalgo
FT(HT: 1-0)
Manuel Sanabria (50')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 53.37%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 24.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.
| Result |
| Pachuca | Draw | Atletico San Luis |
53.37% ( 1.06) | 22.44% ( 0.25) | 24.2% ( -1.3) |
| Both teams to score 59.42% ( -2.37) |
| 59.74% ( -2.48) | 40.26% ( 2.49) |
| 37.36% ( -2.61) | 62.64% ( 2.61) |
| 84.87% ( -0.52) | 15.13% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.31% ( -0.99) | 43.69% ( 1) |
| 70.01% ( -2.35) | 29.99% ( 2.36) |
